A large-scale video quality dataset called the VideoSet has been constructed recently to measure human subjective experience of H.264 coded video in terms of the just-noticeable-difference (JND). It measures the first three JND points of 5-second video of resolution 1080p, 720p, 540p and 360p. Based on the VideoSet, we propose a method to predict the satisfied-user-ratio (SUR) curves using a machine learning framework. First, we partition a video clip into local spatial-temporal segments and evaluate the quality of each seg- ment using the VMAF quality index. Then, we aggregate these local VMAF measures to derive a global one. Finally, the masking effect is incorporated and the support vector regression (SVR) is used to predict the SUR curves, from which the JND points can be derived. Experimental results are given to demonstrate the performance of the proposed SUR prediction method.