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		    Poster
Driver estimation in non-linear autoregressive models

- Citation Author(s):
 - Submitted by:
 - Tom Dupre la Tour
 - Last updated:
 - 13 April 2018 - 5:21am
 - Document Type:
 - Poster
 - Document Year:
 - 2018
 - Event:
 - Presenters:
 - Alexandre Gramfort
 - Paper Code:
 - 1777
 
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In non-linear autoregressive models, the time dependency of coefficients is often driven by a particular time-series which is not given and thus has to be estimated from the data. To allow model evaluation on a validation set, we describe a parametric approach for such driver estimation. After estimating the driver as a weighted sum of potential drivers, we use it in a non-linear autoregressive model with a polynomial parametrization. Using gradient descent, we optimize the linear filter extracting the driver, outperforming a typical grid-search on predefined filters.